(There will be NO ADMISSION of any “Big Counteroffensive” from these bull-shytters UNTIL/UNLESS they have some RESULTS. Until then, following their lead, no one in our MSM will “call it”.)
In THE most comprehensive, simultaneous wave of Ukrainian assaults of the entire war, from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon if not later, the Ukrainian side, with “surprisingly” inadequate artillery preparation and no major use of suicide drones (no surprises if you’ve been reading Dreizin), launched offensive operations at three different points in Zaporozhie province (using a total of six infantry and two tank battalions), as well as near Ugledar, near Mar’inka, Avdeevka, Gorlovka, Soledar, near “Bock-moot”, and Maiorsk.
Attacks were aimed at potential weak points in Russian defense lines, presumably as identified by U.S. and UK orbital groups in tandem with private imaging satellites.
Ukrainian material losses (including abandoned gear sitting in no-man’s land) since Sunday morning, stand at over 50 armored vehicles, including over 30 foreign-donated, wheeled vehicles such as MRAP’s, Humvees, Kirpis, also 3 French AMX-10 wheeled tanks. (Some visual proof, further below.)
(Also note, the Ukraine’s top general, Zaluzhny, is still out to lunch following his injury, and its chief of military intelligence, Budanov, who used to give interviews literally almost every day, hasn’t been seen in a week, since Russia launched a targeted strike at his headquarters. I’m not saying he’s dead, but he’s either that, or on a hospital bed somewhere, or gone to ground.)
Overnight Monday-Tuesday:
IN A MOVE LONG ANTICIPATED, “SOMEONE” WENT SCORCHED-EARTH, HITTING THE ALREADY-DAMAGED (TO INCLUDE, BY TENS OF HIMARS MISSILES, WHEN RUSSIA CONTROLLED BOTH SIDES OF THE RIVER AND USED IT AS A BRIDGE) KAKHOVSKAYA HYDROELECTRIC STATION DAM, KHERSON, LIKELY WITH ONE OR MORE LARGE-PAYLOAD MISSILES, CAUSING A CATASTROPHIC BREACH OF THE DAM.
FLOODING OF LIKELY 100+ SQUARE KM’S OF LOW GROUND ON PRIMARILY THE SOUTH BANK, DOWNSTREAM OF THE DAM, IS UNDER WAY.
(MY HEADLINE PIC SHOWS A PRIOR ESTIMATE OF THE FLOOD ZONE, “BEFORE” AND “AFTER”.)
THE HIGHER WATER LEVEL, TO THE EXTENT THAT IT REMAINS, WILL RENDER RUSSIAN BEACH MINEFIELDS **USELESS** AGAINST UKRAINIAN WATERCRAFT COMING ASHORE, LIKEWISE AGAINST PERSONNEL AND EQUIPMENT DISEMBARKING, IN THE CONTEXT OF A POTENTIAL RIVERINE MASS ASSAULT. THAT IS, ASSAULT CRAFT AND THEIR CONTENTS WILL SWIM SAFELY OVER THE MINES… WHICH MIGHT SIMPLY BE WASHED AWAY, IN ANY CASE.
(ON THE OTHER HAND, THE DISTANCE THAT ATTACKERS MUST TRAVERSE TO THE NEW SHORELINE, ESPECIALLY FURTHER DOWNSTREAM, WILL BE MUCH GREATER, GIVING RUSSIAN FORCES AT LEAST A FEW MINUTES OF EXTRA WARNING TIME.)
IN ANTICIPATION, RUSSIA LONG AGO EVACUATED ALL CIVILIANS FROM LOW GROUND ON THE SOUTH BANK, BUT ***THOUSANDS*** OF HOMES AND OTHER STRUCTURES ON BOTH SIDES ARE LIKELY NOW (OR WILL SOON BE) UNDER SOME WATER.
PREPARE FOR THE MSM TO ACCUSE RUSSIA OF POTENTIALLY SCREWING ITSELF BY DESTROYING THE DAM, SAME AS WITH THE NORD STREAM GAS PIPELINES. (OF COURSE, IGNORING ANY BALANCED CONSIDERATION OF THE “WHO BENEFITS?” PRINCIPLE.)
LOOK, I DON’T KNOW “WHO DID IT“, BUT I CAN TELL YOU, ANYTHING’S POSSIBLE, BECAUSE THE UKRAINE **ALREADY** BLEW UP A (MUCH SMALLER) DAM NEAR KIEV, TO WASH AWAY SOME RUSSIANS WHO WERE TRYING TO CROSS A DNIEPR RIVER INLET OR TRIBUTARY, BACK IN MARCH 2022. AND, THAT “INCIDENT” FLOODED CIVILIANS AS WELL.
SO, WHATEVER YOUR BIAS IS, JUST KNOW THAT THE ZELENSKY BUNCH DO… NOT… GIVE… A… FUCK. AND, NEITHER DOES THE USA. UNCLE SAM ISN’T THE ONE PAYING BILLIONS, TODAY, TO REBUILD MARIUPOL, VOLNOVAKHA, ETC., AND HE WON’T EVER PAY TO FIX THIS DAM, EITHER.
IN ANY CASE… THE PHYSICAL LEGACY OF THE USSR IS BEING DISMANTLED BEFORE OUR EYES:
Some footage of destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles in Zaporozhie and other sectors (on or since Sunday morning) is below:
The three French tanks (abandoned) are below:
Separately….. Below, looks to be two likely U.S./NATO armored vehicles (hard to tell what, but the closer one may be an M113) that got taken out in a Ukrainian near-front rear area in/near Chasov Yar, north Donetsk, on Monday morning.
Lastly, I have it on excellent authority that the below image is of Russian soldiers defending their positions in Zaporozhie, and is NOT from World of Tanks or any other video/computer game.
IN OTHER NEWS…..
WHAT PASSES FOR “EXPERTISE” IN WASHINGTON, DC
(A CASE STUDY, CONTINUED)
OR: “A BIG HELLO FROM THE FRIENDS AND RELATIVES OF THE FOLKS WHO SCRIPTED “IF YOU LIKE YOUR DOCTOR, YOU CAN KEEP YOUR DOCTOR”… AND OTHER GREAT HITS”
I’VE GOT MORE TO SAY ABOUT 29 YEAR-OLD “JENNIFER-IFFIC“, A DIRECTOR AT THE INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF WAR, THE ONLY MAJOR AMERICAN THINKTANK THAT CAN TRULY BE DESCRIBED AS BONA FIDE, ORIGINAL “NEOCON.”
AS A REMINDER, THIS OVER-PROMOTED, RUTHLESS BULL-SHYTTER CONFIDENTLY TOLD A ****NATIONWIDE AUDIENCE OF PBS/NPR VIEWERS/LISTENERS****…..
…..THAT RUSSIAN NAZI-ORIENTED EXPAT/OPPOSITION “GROUPS” (WHICH ARE UNDER THE UKRAINE’S MILITARY INTELLIGENCE DIRECTORATE)…..
…..WHICH HAVE ATTACKED BELGOROD PROVINCE, WITHIN RUSSIA’S “PROPER” BORDERS, WITHIN THE LAST FEW WEEKS…..
…..HAVE ONLY MINIMAL CONTACT WITH THE UKRAINIAN STATE, AS IN, THEY ARE LIKE THE TALIBAN, LIVING IN SOME UKRAINIAN CAVE, DOING THEIR OWN THING (ALBEIT, WITH U.S./NATO VEHICLES AND WEAPONS.)
NOTE TO 29 YEAR-OLD, OVER-PROMOTED, RUTHLESS BULL-SHYTTER, JENNIFER-IFFIC:
IN SUPPORT OF THESE CROSS-BORDER RAIDS, ***THE UKRAINE’S PSY-OPS COMMAND*** HAS BEEN RELEASING VIDEOS ON TELEGRAM, SO AS TO PANIC RUSSIAN RESIDENTS OF BORDER AREAS.
MOST RECENTLY, VIDEOS HAVE BEEN RELEASED OF INFILTRATORS ROAMING THE RUSSIAN BORDER VILLAGE OF NOVAYA TAVOLZHANKA.
THE VILLAGE WAS INDEED INVADED, **BUT**, IT TURNS OUT, THE VIDEOS WERE FILMED IN ANOTHER LOCATION, IN ADVANCE.
THE BUILDING IN THE VIDEO SCREENSHOT BELOW (NOTE THE ARMED INFILTRATOR IN THE VIEW AT RIGHT), DOES **NOT** EXIST IN NOVAYA TAVOLZHANKA.
SOME “WEAPONIZED AUTIST” ON THE RUSSIAN SIDE, HAS PINPOINTED THE LOCATION OF THE BUILDING:
CHERNOBYL.
(THE SMALL PART OF CHERNOBYL THAT IS STILL INHABITED.)
LOL.
BELOW, IS A HILARIOUS VIDEO OF AN INFILTRATOR COMING OUT OF A SEWER HOLE, LIKE THE VIETCONG, LOLOLOL.
SOME VOICE ACTOR IS FILMING FROM “HIS” WINDOW, SAYING, IN A ***PREPOSTEROUSLY DRAMATIZED*** VOICE (MY ROUGH TRANSLATION):
“OH FUCKING FUCK, OH, SHIT, THEY’RE COMING OUT OF THE MANHOLES! OUT OF THE MANHOLES!!! THROUGH THE SEWERS!!! MOLODEZHNA STREET. OH, SHIT.”
HAHAHAHA.
ALL OF THIS WAS FILMED BY THE UKRAINE’S PSY-OPS COMMAND **IN ADVANCE OF** THE INFILTRATION BY RUSSIAN NAZI-ORIENTED EXPAT/OPPOSITION “GROUPS” (WHICH, SUPPOSEDLY, ARE IN THE UKRAINE BUT OTHERWISE HAVE ALMOST NO CONNECTION TO THE UKRAINE, LOL.)
BUT HEY, WHO AM I TO CHALLENGE THE 29 YEAR-OLD, OVER-PROMOTED, RUTHLESS BULL-SHYTTER, JENNIFER-IFFIC???
FOLKS, JENNIFER-IFFIC IS WHAT PASSES FOR “EXPERTISE” IN WASHINGTON, DC.
SADLY, THE TOWN IS CRAWLING WITH HER ILK.
IT IS A BULLSHIT TOWN.
(P.S.: I figure I’ve probably still got a few GODDAMN MUTANT FREAKS on here. Please, no email harassment against Jennifer-iffic, don’t even think about it. She’s but one in A VERITABLE GODDAMN OCEAN of such shitheads. Don’t be a nasty disgrace, thank you.)
Fortunately…..
As always…..
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Fuck. Jacob, I’ve seen theories that the “D-Day Re-Enactment” will be across the now-smaller Kahovka reservoir, to try and storm the NPP. Are they immediately and clearly bullshit? Secondly, as I have family in Kiev, I’d be grateful to know what you think the Russian response to this will be. People say that destroying the Kiev dam would be a symmetrical response, but openly bombing (vs clandestinely bombing) a dam seems out of character for Moscow. In short, do you think the odds of my grandmother getting fucked up with little warning, one way or another, have gone up because of this?
Sorry if the comment is a bit disjointed, and thanks.
Your comment is fine.
I just don’t know, man. What I do know is, Russia is playing the reasonable player to a global audience of the 80% of humanity that supports Russia, and thus, it has not yet done anything truly rash (such as, blowing up international pipelines, or rather openly targeting civilian opinion leaders.)
I think the 80% pro-Russian world have now seen this war for what it is, and would fully understand if Russia upped it’s game at this point.
I fear the dam incident bodes terribly for other places like Odessa, scorched earth is the way forward. I think Ukro-Nasties will destroy the place as it has historical significance for Russia. The leadership don’t care they will eventually exit Ukraine with their millions to live elsewhere, they may as well take out their rage on ethnic Russian areas to give themselves some sort of sick satisfaction.
I was wondering how the flooding will impact the ‘land bridge’ that was planned all the way to Transnistria. Surely this is a no go for a very long time now.
I don’t think the Russians “planned a land bridge to Transnistria.” It may happen if the fighting continues, but at least according to what Putin said at last year’s Valdai Club, the Russians were prepared to let Ukraine keep Odessa, if Kyiv agrees to a peace deal.
However, as the situation evolves, that may change. I think blowing up the dam actually forces Russia to go all the way to Transnistria because without the water from the dam farming in Crimea, Kherson and Zaporizhzha will be badly affected. The Russians can’t even start to repair the dam if they don’t control both sides. But if they do cross the river, they’ll have to go all the way to Transnistria to avoid being caught in a small pocket of land that would be hard to supply across the river.
If it’s worth anything, I think that “the defending team” is still bigger danger for your grandmother (as long as she stays away from potential Russian targets).
The Russians aren’t raging psychopaths like the Americans, if the US were fighting Ukraine you can bet that a hell of a lot of civilians would have died by now, with copius amounts of depleted uranium dust wafting across the place to poison the population for the forseeable future. Their post WW2 history is littered with conflicts resulting in massive civilian deaths and suffering running into millions dead.
They’re coming out of the storm water drains to liberate all of Russia from Putin’s brown shirts.
Hi Jacob;
The photo of the Russian defenders may be real and they may be defending Zaporozhie, but if they are it would have been in WW2. The soldiers appear to be equipped with WW2 vintage headgear, uniforms and weapons. I say it’s a shot not from a video game but a war movie and you are having a little fun with us to see if we catch on. Maybe you can post a shot from one of the Metro video games, they did after all have a Fourth Reich Azov Battalion style fascist group and it’s my favorite series of first person shooter games. (Go Artyom, Colonel Melnikov and the other Spartans.)
Anyhow I noticed it’s a new month so I guess I’m due to feed another fiver to your kitty.
Hello. It’s a screenshot from YouTube, it’s World of Tanks or something like that.
Probably some promo video for War Thunder.
Hi Jacob,
Hope you are fine. Jennifer Is the kind of people that are advertised as role models for leadership roles, where as people that actually know for real are often excluded/silenced.
I understand war is war and I remember this dam was targeted since the last counter ofensive (I think you wrote about it).
Blowing up the whole dam for a counter offensive that might not work?
Who Will build that back again when this conflict ends?
Definitely Ukraine, at this will be completly destroyed.
Cheers
Zaluzhny recently had a very short interview. He seemd fine, although not in top shpe.
I wrote about that. It was no “interview.” There was no back-and-forth conversation. It was literally a few seconds, in an unknown location, just Zaluzhny and some second-tier blogger. It could have been a deepfake, or, it could have been all he could handle, just those few seconds. You need to go back and read my recent stuff, at least.
It’s obvious to anyone with a functioning brain that Zaluzhny is out of action. Either killed, injured, or simply “relieved from duty” by other means.
Considering he gave the evacuation orders for Bak-moot months ago, amd that he opposed the Great Offensives last year, it’s not even beyond reason that he was dumped by his own, ahead of the offensive.
Sorry, but it’s not “Bak-Moot”, the correct Dreizin spelling is “Bock-Moot”. ;-))
Zaluzhny closely resembles someone who has been exposed to too many kilos of tnt equivalents. The childlike smile, a somehow misplaced semblance of reality…implies his cranium has been scrambled.
Other physical damage need not be required. Of course, on the other hand, other medical means could achieve the same symptoms and results in just a rear area clinical environment.
Brain damage is difficult to access by visual observation.
I saw the interview. To me Zaluzhny looked haggard, a shadow of his former self, as he appeared in the previous interview with the Economist. In stark contrast to that previous interview, he hardly spoke at all!
Thanks Jacob , I’ve tapped out of everyone. else’s BS and just read you now .
I wonder if this blown up dam will not have other dangerous implications like for the cooling of the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant or to the supply of Water of all Crimea?
I hope that since the Russians have been warning about the possibilities of the damn being blown for some time that the NPP has more than one back up plan for the cooling. I trust the Russians more than anyone in the west, much less the Ukrainians regarding anything nuclear.
Jennifer-baby is a perfect example of what Dr Bruce Charlton calls the Head Girl Syndrome. See it in detail here: https://iqpersonalitygenius.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-head-girl-syndrome-opposite-of.html
With that clear skin, those perfect teeth, and socially approved haircut she sees herself as going a long way in the world, helped along by the HGS and the Kagan dynasty.
What Jen-baby doesn’t get is that Karma exists and it is a BITCH. By the time it’s done with her and her ilk she will resemble a spiritual crack whore. As Lucinda Williams sang: “Ya gotta get right with God.” All the rest is just vanity and posturing.
Last night, on British Channel 4 ‘news’ they called these raiders into Russia, ‘Russian partisans’. Which was quite novel.
I have made a small top up to my Dreizin tax. Better value than all the other tax I pay.
AJP Taylor described WW1 as “War by Timetable”, reflecting the rigidities associated with coordinating the trains that were needed for mobilisation. I guess this war could be called “War by PR”, or even “War by BS”, at least on the western / Ukrainian side.
There are just so many well heeled Washington / broader western MIC keyboard warrior careers at stake here. The lady you reference is, of course, just one of many. Definitely a cause to die for, I don’t think.
Any chance that the N. Kahovka dam just collapsed from previous year’s bombardment AND – rumored – record high water levels?
Just a pointing out the obvious:
Look how well kept were the actual Russian settlement and how the UA propaganda site (or most of UA ) look like.
If one looks up videos from the DPR and LPR, those are somewhere in the middle (ie. there are some things one can do to improve their built environment even without money).
Apparently Belgorod is one of the richer areas of Russia. And in terms of tactics, if you’re going to terrorize people, terrorize people who matter.
It’s more of “terrorize those you can”.
“Please, no email harassment against Jennifer-iffic ” – You kinda opened the Gates of Hell to that already. I can bet at least 5-10% of your renderers went for it ( Judging by the fact she is also easy to find on linkedin :D)
But Phil is right, These type of people in small satellite countries (e.g. Moldova, Georgia , Baltic States , Nordics. East EU) are groomed for bloodless usurpation of those states.
You said it yourself . You capture the wives and female population and you can easily channel their voting power in whatever direction you want. Most will take any bullshit from and overly promoted “successful lady” – Kaja Kallas, Sandu, dancing Sanna .
Jennifer-iffic is the type that took over all western governments and institutions, academics, NGOs and now more and more corporations and investment establishments. A peaceful version of the post WW2 communist takeovers in central-Europe.
True there is a lot of damage to the Soviet legacy and clearly damaging this dam and hydro power plant is going to cost a lot of money to repair. But bearing in mind Ukraine has an excess of power generation with a view to exporting to the EU, maybe that is not such a big deal.
Equally I wonder how sorry Moscow is to see the end of a lot of the antique industialised cr*p in Eastern Ukraine. The mayor, or whatever, of Mariupol has already said that the will not rebuild the very unecological Azovstal steel works. They certainly will be very glad not to have to take the political rap for closing the 1 km deep coal mines in Donbass that were losing money hand over fist. They are apparently now flooded and unrecoverable. Oh dear… Russia, on the other hand, will welcome the skilled labour force with open arms.
Is Russia exerting their maximum effort in Ukraine, or are they preparing forces for a second front? To me, every day that Ukraine holds territory that is now, legally, part of the Russian Federation, Russia is failing in their duty to protect their new citizens by referendum. Are the forces really so evenly matched that Russia can’t significantly advance? Or, are they holding back forces in case of direct NATO involvement? I know the conflict has been a goldmine for gathering intelligence on Western weapons systems, but vice versa.
Hello. Russia has to maintain forces in Armenia and Karabakh, the Kurile islands, Kaliningrad, the Finnish and Baltic borders, Syria, and on the Tadjik-Afghan border, along with some Wagner guys in Africa. It’s also committed to not using any first-round conscripts (18-19 year-olds) beyond its 2014 borders. It’s also committed to no longer using its precious Rossgvardia (former Interior Ministry forces) on the front lines. It’s also ruled out, for now, any further mass conscription for Ukraine duty. What it’s doing now in the Ukraine, is the maximum that it can do in the Ukraine, under the given constraints, short of going back to bombing power plants, or commencing the destruction of dams, or using nuclear weapons.
Dear Jacob,
Many thanks for the post. I really needed it. It was the first thing I read after seeing the headlines. Yes, scorched earth is what it is – worse than that too as anyone knows cleaning up after a major flood: mold and damp, add to that the tons of oil, mines, massive amounts of toxins and waste, it‘s a tragedy of terrible proportions. And the lame stream, Ukrainian PM office, EU blah blahs had all the lies, graphics and photos ready at hand the minute the button was pushed.
My old boss at an Int Org was a Jennifer. In retrospect, I‘m pretty sure she‘s CEE I AY. She‘s sure had an amazing career when you consider her minimal education and talents. But she wasn‘t bad looking and talked the talk. They are all worse than hookers. They have sold their souls (all of them) as well as selling their bodies (some of them) and none of them believe in God.
The Dnepr affair will get incrementally more interesting. The question Is, cui bono? I think that it serves well the side that doesn’t want to cross it, and both sides currently don’t want to do that. There is the Crimea angle, wrt to the water supply. The most ridiculous outcome, and the most likely one, is that Ukranian shitshow actors decided to do this thinking that it is good cover-up for the counter-offensive bullshit. Creeps.
The hole directly to Hell was not deep enough, so the Ukrainians continue digging.
I know that building at Chernobyl. It’s not far from the Wormwood Star monument and in a group of buildings that includes a small hotel for tourists staying overnight in the exclusion zone and a canteen for workers and tourists. My group stored our baggage, after checking out of the hotel, in a downstairs room while we went on to Pripyat for the day.
Hahaha. Nuts. I’ll quote you.
(hard to tell what, but the closer one may be an M113)
M113 is tracked and boxy. This one is of BTR-3/BTR-4/Stryker kind.
I think I ran into video of same two vehicles, taken at a later date, from a different angle.
https://ok.ru/video/5293410749056
Lots of Jennifer’s all around. Saw this quote recently – “All these newspapers used to have foreign bureaus. Now they don’t. They call us to explain to them what’s happening in Moscow and Cairo. Most of the outlets are reporting on world events from Washington. The average reporter we talk to is 27 years old, and their only reporting experience consists of being around political campaigns. That’s a sea change. They literally know nothing.”
— Ben Rhodes, The Aspiring Novelist Who Became Obama’s Foreign-Policy Guru
but they sure are “pretty” in their gym toned outfits and pearls.